Having two possible outcomes does not mean it's a 50:50 chance.
"So if I aim the arrow at the 1cm square from 100m away and shoot, I either hit it or I don't. So basically I have a 50% chance of hitting it."
this post was submitted on 01 Dec 2024
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Either I become president, or I don't.
Therefore, the odds of me becoming president is 50%
Brb committing 34 felonies.
You've already failed.
You have to commit hundreds of felonies. In broad daylight. And brag about it.
Threaten witnesses. Delay everything.
And only be convicted of 34.
Then not get sentenced.
On the other hand: Half of my lottery tickets were jackpots. I never played and have (1/2 * 0 = ) 0 jackpots.
That's not even a stat question, it is a english question. It is an increase by 80% not to 80%
Statistics only come to play to figure out our new chances.
Maybe I'm wrong but by writing "increase by 80%" there is ambiguity you don't get if you instead spelled out:
- Increase by 80 percent
- Increase by 80 percentage points
I'm not an expert either and your second option is definitly clearer than mine but I believe the % symbol doesn't have the meaning of percentage point.
It is better to make things easier for people to understand but people should also make the effort of properly reading even when it is not fully dumbed down. These are prepositions, so basic english not scientist jargon.
Or "by 80 percentage points"
When my son was about to be born my mother in law caught wind that we didn't plan on circumcising (before researching it I mostly felt it was just strange to do cosmetic surgery on a newborn) but her argument was mostly parroting the 50% reduction in this that and the other disease, missing the fact that it was going from a 0.5% chance to a 0.25% chance, but of course introduced new risks by nature of being a surgery.
Naturally after looking more into it I learned just how bonkers circumcision is so I was far more cemented in my position
The fact that it is even allowed in so-called civilized countries is outrageous. In the US it common because some religious nut was obsessed with children's masturbation.
Which is nuts, as a circumcised individual (medically necessary, my parents aren’t monsters) I masturbated A LOT as a teen.
it baffles me that anyone with a penis, or really anyone who knows what a penis actually is, would think it's a good idea
would people remove a child's eyelids? NO OF COURSE NOT holy shit
piercing flesh is generally to be avoided unless absolutely necessary, as is helpfully indicated to us by it being fucking painful
I work in a place full of statisticians, and we've had to unfortunately have numerous conversations with some of them about the difference between "a decrease" and "a decrease in the rate." Apparently "it's increasing slower" isn't clear enough for some.
Maybe I'm understanding wrong but a decrease in the rate would be the derivative of a decrease. Aka the slope of the line. So if you are decreasing at -x. Rate of decrease is -1.
Unless I follow your wording incorrectly. Obviously it isn't always so nice of a function in real stats. Is that what they are missing?
I play video games; I need to know if the percentage is additive or multiplicative.
"+100%" looks pretty good until you see what "×25%" actually gives you.
×25% gives you 1/4 the original value, whereas +100% is double the original value, let's say 8/4 to keep it consistent. ×125% (in case a 1 is missing) is still only 5/4 the original value.
Is there a typo in your comment?
I feel they might've left something out. If you're at base value still an additive 100% increase (1+1=2) is better than a multiplicative 25% (1×1.25=1.25) increase but in games where bonuses stack another additive 100% increase would raise the effective value by 50% instead (1+1+1=3) whereas another multiplicative 25% would still raise the total by that much (1×1.25×1.25=1.56) so if you're stacking a lot of bonuses, eventually the multplicative ones are more effective. As for how many steps it would take to be equal in our example... 1+1×X=1×1.25^X I'm not gonna do this in my bed on my phone but that equation should already tell you that the right side grows faster when X -> infinity
It'll become greater after 12 applications:
- For 11 times 1.25¹¹ ≈ 11.64 < 12 = 1+ 1×11
- For 12 times 1.25¹² ≈ 14.55 > 13 = 1 + 1×12
There's no need for a precise solution since it's integers anyway.
well it's ambiguous. Its also a sloppy way of expressing an increase by 80 percentage points.
That's not sloppy, that's simply wrong
Fair enough, I'm inclined to agree. It's a relatively common error though, still leaving it ambiguous outside of circles where you expect people to express themselves with mathematical precision.
Difference between increase of x% (old percentage + old percentage * x%)% and increase of x percentage points (old percentage and x)%
People got this wrong about inflation as well. In 2020 there was actual deflation, and in 2021 there was very minimal inflation, meaning prices were still largely lower or similar as 2019. Then we saw 9% inflation in 2022. Total inflation in 2024 vs the 2019 benchmark was around 15%. Or 3% average per year, which is barely over the baseline. People just hear 9% inflation, completely missing the fact that this was a YoY number relative to the Trump recession.
Drag doesn't know exactly what the problem is, but the official inflation figures cannot be right. Housing is so much more expensive. Food is more expensive. And it's not 9% more expensive. Drag knows they say the math takes into account the price of rent, but they've gotta be lying somehow. It's impossible that the cost of living is rising so much faster than inflation. Those should be the same. If they're not the same, someone's math is wrong.
I keep track of my grocery bills going on 10 years now and 14-15% is spot on for what I buy.
Housing is more than 15% more expensive
It may as well be accounted in the inflation, but with a lower weight. Usually the institution responsible for calculation of the inflation will publish the methodology so one can see for emselve, real perceived inflation may be higher or even lower depending on what your consumption profile is.
Won't your consumption profile necessarily change if rent is raised and you have to buy fewer luxuries? Do the calculations take that into account?
I've always wondered how to disambiguate multiplication and addition of percentages. I guess that's what percentage points are for?
10% of your people vote for a party.
The votes increase by 10% => now 11%
The votes increase by 200% => now 30%
The votes increased by 50 percent points => now 60%
The annoying part is that there is no well-known notation for showing percentage points, so people use % for both percentages and percentage points.
Exactly. Unfortunately, they aren't used widely and consistently enough. Even in the press. So you frequently have to second guess what you're reading.
Dark Souls cleared this up for me real quick.
In the same vein, if the volume on your phone is on 1, and you increase it to 2, it has increased by 100%
i think
Convert percentage to fraction, i.e, 80% become 0.8 Then multiply with initial value
If it says 80% more use initial + (initial*80) or simply initial*1.8
Or if it says 80% less, use - in above calculation or multiply by 0.2
I find percentages more neat when used as fractional number Edited to escape the multiplication symbol
Convert percentage to fraction, i.e, 80% become 0.8
That's not a fraction.
⅘ is a fraction.
You know we say "a fraction of something" with a number(usually between 1 and zero) often denoted by letter epsilon. 4/5 equals 0.8 so there is nothing wrong in calling that a fraction too
Edit: Its called Decimal Fractions
I think it's ambiguous and the 90% actually makes more sense. If you increase something by 5m you are taking the original value and adding 5m to it. For multiplication you should probably avoid the word increase and say scaled by instead. 10% scaled by 180% is 18%.
huh, this feels pretty well established here in sweden: whenever people talk about stuff like elections it's consistently percentage points