this post was submitted on 13 Feb 2025
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[–] WatDabney@lemmy.dbzer0.com 42 points 2 weeks ago (2 children)

That's what Daddy Putin wants, so that's what Daddy Putin gets.

[–] davel@lemmy.ml 28 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (3 children)

They were never going to get into NATO. Behind closed doors, Ukraine not getting into NATO has been bipartisan consensus for a long time. And Trump is not Putin’s puppet.

[–] PanArab@lemmy.ml 27 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

You are screaming into the void. The people downvoting you think Butcher Biden is a good person, they are a lost cause.

[–] davel@lemmy.ml 28 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)
[–] Grapho@lemmy.ml 3 points 2 weeks ago

I can push them left* lmao

[–] WatDabney@lemmy.dbzer0.com 16 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

Behind closed doors, the consensus has been that other countries don't want to get dragged into the current war in accordance with NATO mutual defense agreements.

But since Trump insists that he can end the war, that's obviously not a consideration for him - by his claims, there will be nothing more standing in the way of Ukraine membership in NATO.

Which makes this announcement that much more significant - essentially what he's saying is that even after the main obstacle to Ukraine membership has been eliminated, the US will oppose it.

Why?

Because... no, Trump is not Putin's puppet. He's something even worse - a cringing sycophant, desperate for affirmation from his strongman idol.

[–] davel@lemmy.ml 16 points 2 weeks ago

Because… no, Trump is not Putin’s puppet. He’s something even worse - a cringing sycophant, desperate for affirmation from his strongman idol.

If you keep analyzing the current administration through the lens of Jungian analysis of Trump, you’ll keep being wrong. Great man theory is no way to go about analyzing geopolitics.

[–] Josey_Wales@lemm.ee 8 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

Source for any of this? Would be interested to know more about these points.

[–] davel@lemmy.ml 16 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

I don’t have sources on hand for the the first point, but I do for the second.

As for the first point, it’s been covered by the likes of John Mearsheimer, Jeffrey Sachs, Noam Chomsky, Michael Hudson, and Glenn Diesen. Some political figures have admitted as much, but unfortunately I don’t recall who off the top of my head.

[–] geneva_convenience@lemmy.ml 16 points 2 weeks ago

This is what America wanted. Biden made no effort to provide Ukraine with the weapons to win.

[–] pelikan@lemmy.dbzer0.com 31 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

Literally the same words said in December 2021 could possibly prevent:

  • invasion of Ukraine;
  • death of dozens or hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians and turning of millions of Ukrainians to refugees;
  • destruction of dozens of Ukrainian cities;
  • loss of Ukrainian territory to Russia;
  • loss of Ukrainian rare minerals to US.

The Trump administration is just saying loud what all the other NATO governors have been hiding. No one ever planned to fight Russia for Ukraine and the only destiny for Ukrainian aboriginals is to be used as proxy cannon fodder to fight one of NATO's bogeymen.

NATO countries never cared about Ukraine's casualities to the point that they decided that Ukrainian lives were worth less than a signed piece of paper with the aforementioned statement: 'No NATO for Ukraine'. Everything that happens to the people of Ukraine is just collateral damage on the way to the main goal – to harm Russia. The colonizer mentality (so well known to many NATO countries) never changes.

[–] Fidel_Cashflow@lemmy.ml 14 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

a tale as old as time itself

[–] tiredturtle@lemmy.ml 14 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

Under this deal, Putin gets to annex key territories while Ukraine is kept out of NATO and left without American peacekeepers, forcing Europe to buy U.S. military gear. Imperialist powers divide and weaken working people by keeping nations in chaos and under constant threat. This brief period of "peace" isn't for long as capitalist interests allow Russia to regroup and rearm. Ukraine remains in a disordered, free-for-all state under imperialist influences. In time, this setup could let Russia launch an invasion through Odessa to connect with Transnistria.

[–] davel@lemmy.ml 2 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Transnistria is a thousand miles from Odessa, twice as far as St. Petersberg, and Pskov is about 400 miles away.

Vibes, vibes, vibes.

[–] tiredturtle@lemmy.ml 1 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (1 children)

Transnistria is a thousand miles from Odessa, twice as far as St. Petersberg, and Pskov is about 400 miles away.

Vibes, vibes, vibes.

No. The material reality is that Transnistria is roughly 100–150 km from Odessa and not the thousand miles being claimed.

Pskov is near the Estonian border, and St. Petersburg is on the Baltic Sea. Neither of these cities is close to Moldova, so they are largely irrelevant to any invasion plans in that region.

It's important to rely on concrete conditions and verifiable data rather than hyperbolic claims and vibing.

[–] davel@lemmy.ml 2 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Sorry, you’re right. I was thinking of Kaliningrad.

[–] tiredturtle@lemmy.ml 2 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

I appreciate the change in direction with the correction, regardless of the circumstances 👁️

[–] Grapho@lemmy.ml 12 points 2 weeks ago

Get ready to see a wave of far right terrorist attacks on US/European soil when they realize what we've been ridiculed for saying from day one: they were used as cannon fodder, there was never any intention of NATO membership

[–] ShinkanTrain@lemmy.ml 8 points 2 weeks ago

What level do you need to be to cast Bubble of Illusion?

[–] Tm12@lemmy.ca 8 points 2 weeks ago

Russia will eye Europe, and USA will keep eyeing Canada and Greenland.

[–] Zaktor@sopuli.xyz 7 points 2 weeks ago (2 children)

With no guarantees of safety from future aggression, why on earth would Ukraine accept such a deal? This whole war started with Russia breaking their previous peace agreement.

[–] Cowbee@lemmy.ml 10 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

Because Ukraine doesn't really have much of a choice in the matter, the entire point of the war was to get to a point where that could be certified. If Ukraine refuses any peace deals, Russia will just continue the war.

[–] Zaktor@sopuli.xyz 5 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

If Ukraine doesn't get any security assurances, then they're effectively still at war. This war started after supposedly getting promises of security for ceding Crimea.

They're not the ones pushing this negotiation. If they just wanted to stop the war and give Putin everything he wanted with no guarantees he won't just regroup and invade again they could have done that at any time.

[–] Cowbee@lemmy.ml 12 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

There's also the factor of the Euromaidan coup, NATO encirclement of Russia, and the Ukranian shelling of Donetsk and Luhansk at play. Russia, more than anything, wants Ukraine to either be fully demillitarized or forced into NATO neutrality, and has the means to continue whether Ukraine wants it to or not. If Russia genuinely wanted to, it could keep going until Ukraine is just Russian territory, but I doubt that will end up being the case.

It isn't a moral problem, but a question of who holds the cards. Ukraine can make its loss more devastating for both sides, but has no real path to victory. It is better to sue for peace before more damage is done and lives are lost, clearly Russia is fine to continue as long as it needs to in order to secure its interests.

[–] Zaktor@sopuli.xyz 6 points 2 weeks ago (2 children)

Ohhh, gotcha. I thought this was a real conversation, not just blindly repeating ridiculous Russian talking points about NATO aggression.

[–] davel@lemmy.ml 12 points 2 weeks ago

Just because Russia says something doesn’t mean it’s false. Calling something a “Russian talking point,” is not an argument, it’s a thought-terminating cliché.

[–] Cowbee@lemmy.ml 11 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

What part of NATO encirclement is "ridiculous?" Even if I agreed with you that it is "ridiculous," clearly Russia thinks it isn't, which means the motives are still there for Russia to continue pursuing its goals until Ukraine gives in.

This feels more like you dodging having to grapple with that reality than anything else.

[–] Zaktor@sopuli.xyz 4 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (3 children)

Why do you assume sincerity from Russian talking points? Russia already has borders with NATO and didn't go to war to prevent them. The war pushed Finland to join, which is not exactly a surprising result from renewed Russian invasions of conquest.

The whole reason I subscribe to ml politics is because commenters here are less blindly credulous about the disconnect between the statements of American political actors and their actions, but then you just trade it for an infinite well of trust for foreign regimes that at least until recently were blatantly worse.

[–] AntiOutsideAktion@lemmy.ml 12 points 2 weeks ago

have you heard of this little thing called geography? Like mountains and stuff? Have you ever actually looked at a map of the region?

[–] davel@lemmy.ml 11 points 2 weeks ago

NATO expansion:

.
NATO in general:

.
Maidan coup & fascist attacks on Eastern Ukraine:

[–] Cowbee@lemmy.ml 9 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

NATO encirclement implies encirclement. Why do you think Russia is going to war in the first place? I don't trust everything Russia says, I think de-Nazification is a convenient narrative given the presence of Azov and other groups, but isn't the driving factor of the war (though is part of it). NATO encirclement is a known tactic, as NATO has origins as an anti-Communist, pro-Imperialist group that was formed to attack the USSR, and had Nazis such as Adolf Heusinger in charge. This is readily available information, from Operation GLADIO to Heusinger's Nazi past.

Why do you think Russia is going to war? What do they gain at the costs associated with the war?

[–] Lodespawn@aussie.zone 7 points 2 weeks ago

I'm surprised a Nazi like Hegseth wants to help Russia so bad.