this post was submitted on 18 Jan 2025
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China’s population fell last year for the third straight year, its government said Friday, pointing to further demographic challenges for the world’s second most populous nation, which is now facing both an aging population and an emerging shortage of working age people.

China’s population stood at 1.408 billion at the end of 2024, a decline of 1.39 million from the previous year.

The figures announced by the government in Beijing follow trends worldwide, but especially in East Asia, where Japan, South Korea and other nations have seen their birth rates plummet. China three years ago joined Japan and most of Eastern Europe among other nations whose population is falling.

The reasons are in many cases similar: Rising costs of living are causing young people to put off or rule out marriage and child birth while pursuing higher education and careers. While people are living longer, that’s not enough to keep up with rate of new births.

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[–] benjhm@sopuli.xyz 6 points 11 hours ago* (last edited 10 hours ago)

This is hardly surprise news, it's just what the demographics projected. And if trends continue, China's population will halve by 2100. The big one to watch now is India, and then central Africa, those are harder to project.
You can experiment with my model - click the 'model pop' plot on the left side.