this post was submitted on 30 Jul 2024
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If you look at the actual seat-by-seat projections, current polls give a near mathematical certainty of a CCP majority.
Trudeau needs to take a page from Biden's book and step down in time for there to be a leadership race. I don't think it's fair (he's done fine as Prime Minister, imho) but he's unelectable. A PP-led majority government could do a lot of damage.
He will never do that because the Liberals need a fall guy. I think after 4 years of a Conservative government people will be begging for anything but a return to that. In that time the Liberals can regroup and come forward with someone else. They arenโt going to win no matter who they put in at this point, this is the long term play.