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Do you trust FiveThirtyEight without Nate Silver? (nymag.com)

submitted 1 year ago by ironsoap@lemmy.one to c/politics

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Article from a few weeks ago, but now that G. Elliott Morris is taking over without Nate's models, I'm curious what lemmy's think about political polling analysis from FiveThirtyEight?

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[–] alphalyrae 7 points 1 year ago (2 children)

Morris has also built robust polling analysis models, so it will be interesting to see how (or if) his models manifest themselves on 538.

As to Nate, he can well and truly go fuck himself. His arrogance is staggering, as demonstrated by his behavior at the onset of COVID in early 2020. He seemed to argue with every epidemiologist that crossed his path early in the pandemic, simply because he believed HE knew better about the impacts of a global pandemic than they did. Because as we all know, being a statistical analysis guru makes you an expert in epidemiology (yes, I'm being sarcastic).

The dude is so far up his own ass that the only way he can see outside is through his belly button.

[–] Satiric_Weasel 4 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

Sounds like he thinks he's a Hari Seldon figure. Someone should have told him Foundation was science fiction.

[–] coffeetest@lemmy.one 3 points 1 year ago

I have 538 bookmarked but I never find it all that helpful. By the time the charts start to make sense to me, it's too late. Maybe I don't give it enough of a chance/credit but that is how it seems to me.

So I guess I am saying, I didn't really trust it before.