My gut feeling was closer to 9-8, about the same as last year. I feel like the roster is a bit better but not hugely.
By position group, I think:
- Offensive line: better (new center, second year for rookie tackles)
- Receivers: better (finally have a third WR!)
- Running: about the same (lost Penny, who wasn't able to play much, but was great when he could, replaced by a rookie)
- QB: ??? (Geno was really good at the beginning of the year but tailed off later)
- Defensive line: worse (lost several contributors)
- Linebackers: better (hard to know how much Wagner has left, though)
- Secondary: better (Witherspoon, healthy Adams)
Looking at the schedule, it does seem easier than I expected to get to 10 or 11 wins! I think winning 5 of 6 in the division is a bit optimistic, so I could see one more loss there. And probably a loss from one of the Lions, Panthers, Giants, Browns. But I could also see getting to 11!