I don't think there'll be any immediate decisions, so Danny Ric should have time to show a real revival of form, which wasn't particular evident during his admittedly limited running last season... I can't see him being on Mercs radar, they have a young gun waiting in the wings, so an Alonso move there could make sense, while they assess thier new charge. Alonso is still hungry & competitive, but probably only a couple of years away from the inevitable retirement, he'd also be a good partner pushing Russell. Sainz might earmark either Merc or Redbull as anything else would be a backwards step...🤷🏻‍♂️

Reads like a musical chairs prediction. Also you're forgetting Gasly, who had a better season than Ocon in his first year with the team. He's a better shout than Albon who's clearly overrated and Bottas isn't even in contention. Highly doubt Mercedes/Toto goes for Alonso. But ultimately it's all going to hinge on driver performance from this season.