Asklemmy

I doubt it. Polls conducted this early aren’t worth much. People who tend to vote for Democrats may wish for a younger candidate than Biden, but when confronted in the voting booth with a choice of fascism or Biden, most will choose Biden.

Probably. I don't follow US politics closely, but it does feel like we're in the darkest timeline.

Besides, he kind of goatse-d the overton window. Nothing would surprise me now that it's already happened once.

Probably. It's america after all

He doesn't have a chance in the popular vote. He already lost it once (twice, technically). And with how polarizing he's become, only the more extreme fringe actors are outright supporting him, and those with real money want a "safe" candidate that allows them to keep grifting behind the scenes without causing such a big ruckus. He'll lose a lot of big donor support, and people are growing tired of the constant outrage news that he generates.
We've seen how he performs a symphony of a clusterfuck in a 4 year term, and not even the GOP itself is jumping right at the idea of embracing another 4 years of that struggle- they're waffling at the idea, and a lot of the extremist upstarts that got a foothold under Trump now want to knock him out of it so they can have their own moment of glory. But Trump was a one-time shot. He was THE face of "The Big Businessman, doing a Business" that appealed to the older, more bootstrapy kind of crowd that still unfortunately dominates the actively voting public. All the younger extremists are trying to parrot him and can't quite get away with the same level of "crazy" energy without looking actually crazy, since they don't have the gold-plated toilet of "American Success" to back them up.

But regardless of that, will every hard-right extremist fight tooth and nail to ensure he still wins, including but not limited to high treason, rushed gerrrymandering, voter intimidation (or outright slaughter) and the active dismantling of every aspect of democracy down to the local voter box level? You bet your ass they're gonna try here.

I’m going to say no. The loudest people don’t always seem to make it to the polls. Here in Illinois, we heard lots of hate for Pritzker. Anti JB signs everywhere. Only 58% turned out to vote and Pritzker was declared the winner within hours of the polls opening

I’m hesitant to laugh it off and say “there’s no way”.

No Biden is set to carry it all, despite what the media wants you to think (so they can get outrage clicks on their websites-looking at you CNN)

Stock market is at record heights, unemployment is way down since the cheese turd was in office. The Drumpfers are definitely loud but their prison bait leader is going to lead them all to another Jonestown disaster. Believe it or not, I think the Supreme Court will be the ones that end the Era of MAGAts.

I think it's a coin flip. You could point to ten reasons it's "obvious" Trump will win and I could give you ten reasons it's "obvious" he won't.

There is a strong movement to hold a constitutional convention before the next election. It is backed by a right wing group called ALEC. They think they have a loophole to make it happen and the new speaker of the house backs the idea. I think if they had a wider majority it would already be happening. They will rewrite the rules to ensure a hard right anti-civil rights candidate wins.

Yeah. I do think he will. Most people I know are pro Trump and have been consistently and vocally since last election.

I think it’s a bit early to make any kind of educated speculation and wild speculation just isn’t really all that helpful for anyone.

Never underestimate the stupidity of voters.

considering that he doesnt have the nomination, no. he may not get the nomination. if he does? oh yeah.