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Deadly global heatwaves undeniably result of climate crisis, scientists show
(www.theguardian.com)
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For your first point, I'd just like to add that the scientists didn't give conservative estimates to stay clear of conspiracy theorists, but to stay clear of criticisms of fellow scientists. If there's insufficient data to back up the claims a researcher makes, you can bet the other researchers will always beat the conspiracy theorists in calling out the bullshit.