this post was submitted on 31 Mar 2022
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This is a fundamental misunderstanding of technology. Yes, LEDs will get brighter and smaller and use less energy... and whatever the limit to that improvement is it's pretty absurd and grounded in physics.
There is another class of problems. It is scaling. It starts when someone says "I can make an amazing widget, it's beyond incredible!". The first question you ask shouldn't be "how much does it cost". Because indeed, cost will come down with time. It shouldn't be "how efficient is it", because that too will improve.
The question is "how many can you make". Ask that. And the truth here is that they couldn't ever hope to make enough. And that jets are fast approaching or have already met the fundamental limits of physics as far as being fuel efficient.
This means that this can never be a solution. We're not going to suddenly have less interest in flying. It's fucking convenient to be able to pay some company $300, and be in a city a 2000 miles away in just 4 hours. There won't be fewer people (or, if so, not until 2100-something, when falling fertility shows everyone that we're on a path to extinction).
This can't ever be a solution.
I don't know how to respond to the assertion that fighting for survival against genocide is comparable to fighting for your right to fly to Italy and have your idiot friend take the picture of you pretending to hold up the Tower of Pisa.
I suspect that this is a symptom of profound mental illness. Life is, without reasonable dispute, wonderful. I acknowledge that when people are tortured and tormented that they seem to change their opinion on that, and they have my deepest sympathies. I hope to live to see effective treatment for their illness.
I do not understand those who hold this opinion minus the torture, but perhaps ennui and middle-class wankery over the "meaning of life" is its own special kind of self-torture. I blame the weird parenting fads of western culture.
Then your crime's all the greater, to have been given what they were denied, and to waste it.
The linked article was not written by Science with a capital S. It's an abstract concept (and not even unflawed). It was not written by scientists. Generally, they are too busy to write articles for public consumption, and also generally, they are untalented at the sort of writing needed for the public to be able to understand it. Furthermore, to be good at science requires a certain sort of personality that embraces the sort of tunnel vision that makes them difficult to understand.
Thus, you are not listening to scientists here. You're not listening to someone who listened to scientists. My own bad estimate is, that for a typical article like this, there is a chain of up to 4 interpreters between you and the scientists, starting with the administrative staff of major research institutions, their public relations department, science journalists, and then editors themselves.
The article is based on research, so it is absolute irrelevant what you and I have to say, did you spend millions of dollars, so why pretend you know better and know all the answers. I do not claim such things, I show the options and that is all. I think it is better than going the old way because we need to change something, so or so.
But glad you are were bored and answered, it was absolute irrelevant, same like my answer. It brings us no step forward and each time new tech emerges or improved tech comes up the out crying such as, oh this is not 100 percent green, is pointless, so or so. It is about management, otherwise we can surrender, or go back into caves but I am not willingly to accept it and I will fight that, because it is in my nature. Same like it is in our nature to improve tech, constantly.