this post was submitted on 24 Feb 2025
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Privacy
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Party manifestos are dreamy wishlists for a parliament, in which they have the absolute majority. Merz's CDU tories did not win one. He'll need to form a coalition. Most likely outcome is one with the SPD social democrats. Coalition talks have a way of grinding these wishlists down. And they take time. So keep a watchful eye but it's too early to despair.
SPD as a junior Partner to the Union has a history of just allowing them to do whatever they want
True. But the social democrats are the only feasible way to a majority for Merz right now without the help of Nazis. There is at least potential strength in that. Plus the SPD know about their past. They'll have to find a way to strengthen their party's position in government somehow. They may surprise us with the spontaneous growth of a backbone in this area, under new leadership. All I'm saying is the die is not cast yet.
Yeah, but the SPD now has a long tradition in surveillance and police support. Especially if Nancy Faeser stays interior minister
My crystal ball tells me she will not be part of the next government. I think very few of the current SPD ministers will be. Possibly none of them. The stink of the past, failed coalition "Ampel" government will keep them out.
As I said before, it's too early to despair, there is potential for surprises, and we should keep an eye on it.