this post was submitted on 30 Dec 2023
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That's not even remotely true. There are thousands and thousands and thousands of old-school forums out there, some from the earlier days of the Internet, that still exist. And they're not all huge. Tildes, the platform OP mentioned, only does limited invitations, and isn't particularly large, yet is vibrant (reddit post-API certainly helped). You can see here that Tildes has about 25k registered users; I imagine the vast majority aren't active or only lurk. The same goes for tons of small communities on Discord.
I would agree if Beehaw was just starting off as just another forum out on the web. That's certainly a hard task to start on from literally nothing. But Beehaw isn't starting from nothing. As one of the larger Lemmy instances, a userbase has already been established. Of course, not everyone will come over to a standalone site or stick around for very long if they do migrate, but it is entirely possible for a smaller community to exist in a standalone configuration over time. As long as community members find value in it, and as long as admins/mods are willing to help grow the community, even it if is slow, people will stick around.
Not everywhere needs to be reddit, and not everyone wants that anyway.
Tildes? You mean the site where 90% of the comments are long inane essays that could all be summed up in a single sentence meanwhile having no real meaningful content? The site where literally anything new dies down within a week because there's not enough users to hold a normal unpretentious conversation? The site where most of the posts are weekly bot posts that no one posts into?
Lol. Lmao even.