United Kingdom
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[citation needed] as they used to say.
The modelling data we used to justify lockdowns also gave expected outcomes if we did lockdown. It was wrong. So wrong that there's no reason to think it would have held true for the paths we didn't follow. If somebody has gone back and modelled what no lockdown would have meant based on the data we have today, then I'm all ears. You can't point to March 2020 modelling today though. It's been shown to be wrong.
The truth of it is that we were scared and we panicked. What's worse, is that we never adjusted our strategy based on what we learned. We never thought about the future cost of our actions and now when those effects are starting to be realised, we're too embarrassed to admit it.