this post was submitted on 12 Jun 2023
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Technology
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I'm expecting the CEO to push back the date of the API implementation by a month or two (still a bit doubtful) but I don't see him changing his original stance given his narcissistic attitude.
I’m expecting the API change to happen exactly as planned. As a result all 3rd party apps will die by the end of this month, and the user count will take a severe hit. Many essential mod tools will stop working, so those who actually found the default app tolerable, will get to see all subs go downhill since they aren’t really being moderated anymore. As a result, the user count will continue to decline in the following months as people come to terms with Reddit sucking harder than before. Oh, but then it gets even worse when the spam bots and official ads start taking over every sub. Most likely the next year is going to be very rough in terms of user count.
Unlike other social media sites, where people stick around because of family and friends, at reddit-like sites, people stick around for the content and discussion. Once the content gets taken over by spam-bots, it's over.
Agree, there is very low friction to switching off reddit onto another site offering a similar service with a better experience. Lemmy seems to be offering exactly that, and if we continue to see growth in posts and engagement, it will be very successful.
I don't think we're at a better experience yet. Reddit experience declining while Lemmy improves might get there, though. Right now, most of the activity on Lemmy is from those of us who are pissed at Reddit.
As others have been saying, though: Reddit is less "sticky" because you don't really build connections or followers like on other platforms.