huginn

Call links are a lot more work than "a few buttons"

He has said that they already know everything they need to know to get to AGI.

OpenAI has not made a single thing that wasn't just a wrapped LLM.

So either A: he has somehow been running a skunk works that has fundamentally changed everything we know limits LLMs and none of the researchers leaked anything or B: he thinks LLMs are the way.

Additional quote when he was asked about AGI:

“How did we get to the doorstep of the next leap in prosperity? In three words: deep learning worked. In 15 words: deep learning worked, got predictably better with scale, and we dedicated increasing resources to it,” Altman said.

This tracks with the whole "I need 1 trillion dollars of energy investments" plan to get to AGI that he's asked for.

The guy's either honestly convinced himself that we can get there with deep learning scaling or he's a conman. Could be both.

It's what Altman has constantly said was going to happen. Up to you to decide if he's actually in the industry or not.

The fundamental architecture of an LLM is used across all these services - and that's reaching its limits.

Heavy investments is a strong term for modest hedges around SMRs.

Tens of millions is low risk pocket change compared to the billions burned running the things constantly.

The problem is they're all playing chicken with each other.

OpenAI will never back down. The question is will Google, Microsoft or Amazon blink first

This guy is outing the archive for terrible security posture by bringing attention to it because they received disclosures and did not fix them.

Don't get shit twisted - he's the hero here. IA fucked up and has been vulnerable to manipulation by any number of corporate or national actors this entire time.

The problem pretty consistently is they have simple solutions to complex problems and refuse to use nuance in anything.

They've reduced the problem space to one they can comprehend, have come to a conclusion about it, and now refuse to ever bend or change opinion.

If your regime is vocally on their side they'll defend it unironically and ardently. If your regime has ever shown any pushback you're a Western pig with shitballs.

It's a very comforting worldview honestly. Having come from a radical religious upbringing I know how nice it is to just take a razor and slice the world in 2. Good guys on one side, bad guys on the other and never the twain shall meet. Bad people are eternally bad and the only way for them to not be bad is for them to look, talk and act like us because we're good.

The problem of course is that it is exceptionally rare that you find someone who believes what they're doing is wrong and continually fights for it because they enjoy being wrong. Everyone lands on continuous spectrums of belief and action and they're usually doing what they think is right/good.

To be clear: I'm not saying I understand the entire problem space. I've read Marx and Gramsci. I'm not uninformed: I just know that the complexity of human systems are nigh on incomprehensible when attempting to solve them in their entirety. I don't think the problem of government and economic organization is solvable so much as it is something we can do better than we currently do. It will never be perfect, but we can aim for good enough.

For what it's worth I'm definitely in the big government camp rather than the anarchism camp: and yes I'm aware which community this is. Just calling out my own biases here.

Hell yeah

It does seem like the harder part of the negotiation (automation) will happen in January.

It's a shame that the labor union is opposed to Automation but in a capitalist system any loss of a job threatens loss of life: there is strong incentive from unions to oppose automation for that reason.

Automation should be the joy of the worker but without ownership of the means it becomes the worker's doom.

That happens constantly with hourly workers, slightly less so with salaried.

This is some libertarian "be your own boss" bullshit

The salary is the least amount of money they think they can pay you to work, but the problem is not the work itself. It's the "money required to survive" aspect.

It's not a line in the sand, it's an escalation.

Per capita with total as tiebreaker:

Brazil 94kg

Germany 78kg - 17% less than Brazil

China 76kg - 2.6% less than Germany

UK 76kg - 2.6% less than Germany

USA 73kg - 3.9% less than UK/China

France 61kg - 16% less than USA

India 55kg - 10% less than France

Russia 33kg - 40% less than India